Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Manchester City with a 8.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 33.4% | 46.9% | +13.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 55.3% | 41.9% | −13.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 30.1% | 17.5% | −12.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.8% | 45.9% | +11.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 48.4% | 58.7% | +10.3 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 23.9% | 13.8% | −10.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 82.3% | 72.5% | −9.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 13.6% | 21.8% | +8.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 22.5% | 30.7% | +8.2 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 29.3% | 21.7% | −7.6 |
