Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Leicester City with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 9 (before the first match) against those on July 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Europa League | 25.3% | 2.9% | −22.4 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 40.3% | 52.8% | +12.4 |
| Sheffield United | Europa League | 12.2% | 20.2% | +8.0 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 68.7% | 61.4% | −7.3 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 31.1% | 36.9% | +5.8 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 48.0% | 44.3% | −3.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 51.7% | 55.0% | +3.3 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 89.3% | 92.3% | +3.0 |
