Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Manchester City with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 2 (before the first match) against those on July 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Europa League | 9.5% | 24.8% | +15.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 18.2% | 4.4% | −13.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 58.9% | 49.0% | −9.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 9.2% | 16.7% | +7.6 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 72.6% | 79.3% | +6.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.4% | 67.9% | +5.5 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 25.3% | 20.0% | −5.2 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 78.4% | 82.9% | +4.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 35.1% | 31.0% | −4.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 8.7% | 5.1% | −3.6 |
