Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Leicester City with a 15.8% chance, Watford beat Liverpool with a 16.4% chance, and Wolverhampton beat Tottenham with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 49.9% | 34.9% | −15.0 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 60.4% | 74.0% | +13.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 15.5% | 4.4% | −11.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 39.5% | 30.0% | −9.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 25.7% | 35.2% | +9.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.8% | 28.8% | +8.0 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 40.5% | 48.1% | +7.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 52.9% | 60.1% | +7.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 12.0% | 18.6% | +6.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 30.5% | 24.0% | −6.5 |
