Round 11

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat West Ham with a 17.8% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Leicester CityChampions League54.1%65.6%+11.5
NewcastleRelegation31.5%21.2%−10.2
Sheffield UnitedRelegation15.6%8.2%−7.4
Norwich CityRelegation73.4%80.1%+6.8
Manchester UnitedChampions League16.6%10.0%−6.6
ChelseaChampions League71.8%77.6%+5.8
ArsenalChampions League28.2%22.5%−5.7
Sheffield UnitedEuropa League4.7%9.4%+4.8
Brighton & Hove AlbionRelegation10.7%6.6%−4.1
Brighton & Hove AlbionEuropa League6.2%10.1%+3.8
Home 32.3%
Draw 28.4%
Away 39.3%
Home 58.1%
Draw 22.1%
Away 19.8%
Home 14.0%
Draw 19.6%
Away 66.4%
Home 69.4%
Draw 18.7%
Away 11.9%
Home 75.7%
Draw 16.9%
Away 7.4%
Home 34.1%
Draw 29.5%
Away 36.5%
Home 61.0%
Draw 21.2%
Away 17.8%
Home 17.0%
Draw 20.9%
Away 62.1%
Home 30.2%
Draw 27.3%
Away 42.4%
Home 30.2%
Draw 27.3%
Away 42.5%