Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Crystal Palace with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 31.5% | 22.1% | −9.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 48.3% | 55.7% | +7.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 65.7% | 72.8% | +7.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 41.7% | 48.5% | +6.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 13.4% | 19.9% | +6.5 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 14.3% | 8.2% | −6.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 22.6% | 28.6% | +6.1 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 21.7% | 16.0% | −5.7 |
| Bournemouth | Europa League | 14.2% | 19.8% | +5.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 40.4% | 34.8% | −5.6 |
