Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Manchester United with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 38.2% | 24.6% | −13.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 23.7% | 11.8% | −11.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 16.7% | 8.2% | −8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 34.2% | 41.7% | +7.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 42.5% | 48.3% | +5.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 22.3% | 28.0% | +5.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 34.8% | 40.4% | +5.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 54.5% | 59.4% | +4.9 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 17.3% | 21.7% | +4.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.4% | 22.6% | +4.2 |
