Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cardiff City beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 22.8% chance and Wolverhampton beat Arsenal with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on April 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 30.6% | 2.7% | −27.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 69.5% | 97.3% | +27.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 61.8% | 42.3% | −19.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 38.2% | 57.7% | +19.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 65.2% | 84.0% | +18.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 34.7% | 16.0% | −18.6 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 15.1% | <0.1% | −15.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 71.1% | 84.9% | +13.8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 3.2% | 15.1% | +11.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 34.1% | 44.4% | +10.3 |
