Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Crystal Palace with a 20.0% chance, Cardiff City beat West Ham with a 24.9% chance, and Southampton beat Tottenham with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on March 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.5% | 61.8% | +26.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 64.3% | 38.2% | −26.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 18.0% | 30.6% | +12.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 82.0% | 69.5% | −12.6 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 5.4% | 15.1% | +9.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.1% | 34.7% | −9.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 55.8% | 65.2% | +9.3 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 76.5% | 71.1% | −5.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 61.4% | 65.8% | +4.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 38.4% | 34.1% | −4.3 |
