Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Manchester United with a 9.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 34.7% | 10.6% | −24.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 46.8% | 70.3% | +23.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 92.1% | 79.0% | −13.1 |
| Burnley | Europa League | 8.6% | 21.2% | +12.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 13.1% | 4.9% | −8.1 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 86.4% | 92.7% | +6.4 |
