Round 33

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Leicester City with a 16.3% chance and Manchester United beat Manchester City with a 22.9% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 1 (before the first match) against those on April 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
SouthamptonRelegation38.6%46.8%+8.3
Stoke CityRelegation79.2%86.4%+7.2
Huddersfield TownRelegation40.5%34.7%−5.7
Crystal PalaceRelegation17.1%13.1%−4.0
Home 26.0%
Draw 25.1%
Away 49.0%
Home 50.5%
Draw 24.6%
Away 24.9%
Home 50.1%
Draw 24.7%
Away 25.2%
Home 63.1%
Draw 20.6%
Away 16.3%
Home 16.8%
Draw 20.8%
Away 62.5%
Home 40.6%
Draw 28.0%
Away 31.5%
Home 44.5%
Draw 26.6%
Away 28.9%
Home 53.5%
Draw 23.6%
Away 22.9%
Home 60.0%
Draw 21.5%
Away 18.5%
Home 63.9%
Draw 20.3%
Away 15.7%