Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 40.2% | 20.7% | −19.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 34.8% | 22.4% | −12.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 65.2% | 77.5% | +12.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 13.2% | 3.7% | −9.5 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 28.9% | 36.3% | +7.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 78.3% | 84.4% | +6.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 21.7% | 15.7% | −6.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 85.6% | 91.7% | +6.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 7.9% | 13.4% | +5.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 22.7% | 28.0% | +5.3 |
