Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Huddersfield Town beat West Bromwich Albion with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 12 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 40.7% | 23.8% | −16.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 49.6% | 65.2% | +15.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 50.3% | 34.8% | −15.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 27.5% | 13.2% | −14.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 71.4% | 85.6% | +14.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 28.1% | 40.2% | +12.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 69.4% | 78.3% | +8.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 30.5% | 21.7% | −8.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 22.3% | 28.9% | +6.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 10.5% | 4.8% | −5.7 |
