Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Southampton with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 31 (before the first match) against those on January 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 46.2% | 30.9% | −15.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 27.4% | 15.4% | −12.0 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 30.1% | 39.9% | +9.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 63.6% | 72.1% | +8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 25.8% | 17.5% | −8.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 19.4% | 11.8% | −7.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 40.6% | 48.2% | +7.5 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 65.4% | 72.1% | +6.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 65.7% | 71.1% | +5.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 7.6% | 12.4% | +4.8 |
