Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Watford with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 28 (before the first match) against those on January 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | Relegation | 23.0% | 40.6% | +17.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 59.1% | 73.8% | +14.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 29.1% | 16.0% | −13.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 32.6% | 19.5% | −13.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 56.5% | 69.5% | +13.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 37.2% | 25.6% | −11.6 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 41.6% | 31.1% | −10.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 38.1% | 48.2% | +10.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 49.5% | 57.8% | +8.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 17.7% | 9.7% | −8.0 |
