Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat West Ham with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 53.9% | 40.3% | −13.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 28.5% | 40.9% | +12.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.6% | 41.5% | +11.8 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 37.7% | 26.1% | −11.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 32.9% | 22.6% | −10.4 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 17.4% | 24.5% | +7.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 12.9% | 19.7% | +6.8 |
| Burnley | Europa League | 16.2% | 10.5% | −5.7 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 66.5% | 70.6% | +4.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.9% | 29.9% | −4.0 |
