Round 18

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Leicester City with a 15.9% chance and Huddersfield Town beat Watford with a 17.0% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Crystal PalaceRelegation39.3%23.1%−16.2
Huddersfield TownRelegation33.7%18.2%−15.5
TottenhamChampions League43.9%29.6%−14.3
Stoke CityRelegation25.5%37.7%+12.2
TottenhamEuropa League40.3%51.5%+11.2
LiverpoolChampions League48.2%59.0%+10.8
Swansea CityRelegation56.3%66.5%+10.2
West HamRelegation22.1%12.9%−9.2
Leicester CityEuropa League19.9%12.4%−7.6
BournemouthRelegation11.5%17.4%+6.0
Home 63.7%
Draw 20.4%
Away 15.9%
Home 74.0%
Draw 17.4%
Away 8.7%
Home 31.5%
Draw 28.0%
Away 40.6%
Home 61.5%
Draw 21.1%
Away 17.4%
Home 62.1%
Draw 20.9%
Away 17.0%
Home 38.8%
Draw 28.6%
Away 32.6%
Home 54.3%
Draw 23.3%
Away 22.4%
Home 20.4%
Draw 22.4%
Away 57.2%
Home 24.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 51.1%
Home 62.2%
Draw 20.9%
Away 17.0%