Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Manchester United with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.7% | 45.0% | −17.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 26.7% | 13.7% | −13.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 40.6% | 28.0% | −12.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 22.6% | 11.9% | −10.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 66.1% | 75.8% | +9.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.0% | 7.3% | −9.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 15.7% | 7.4% | −8.3 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 41.5% | 48.9% | +7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 38.5% | 45.9% | +7.4 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 20.1% | 27.1% | +7.1 |
