Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat West Ham with a 15.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
TottenhamChampions League40.7%53.5%+12.8
Manchester UnitedChampions League75.4%62.7%−12.7
SunderlandRelegation43.8%56.3%+12.5
Manchester UnitedChampion28.6%17.0%−11.6
BournemouthRelegation43.5%32.7%−10.8
WatfordRelegation26.3%15.7%−10.7
Leicester CityChampions League26.3%16.2%−10.1
LiverpoolChampions League28.5%38.5%+10.1
Crystal PalaceRelegation35.5%26.7%−8.8
EvertonChampions League17.5%26.2%+8.8
Home 48.1%
Draw 26.0%
Away 25.9%
Home 65.3%
Draw 19.5%
Away 15.2%
Home 34.2%
Draw 31.9%
Away 33.9%
Home 38.8%
Draw 29.9%
Away 31.4%
Home 44.3%
Draw 27.5%
Away 28.2%
Home 26.7%
Draw 26.5%
Away 46.8%
Home 65.3%
Draw 19.5%
Away 15.1%
Home 45.0%
Draw 27.3%
Away 27.8%
Home 25.7%
Draw 25.9%
Away 48.4%
Home 23.4%
Draw 24.4%
Away 52.3%