Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Crystal Palace with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 1 (before the first match) against those on January 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 73.1% | 59.2% | −13.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 26.4% | 36.1% | +9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 57.3% | 47.7% | −9.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 76.3% | 66.9% | −9.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.9% | 31.7% | +8.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 64.0% | 72.4% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 27.1% | 35.3% | +8.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 33.7% | 26.3% | −7.4 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 7.3% | 14.7% | +7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 83.1% | 76.1% | −6.9 |
