Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Southampton with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 28 (before the first match) against those on January 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 22.5% | 9.7% | −12.8 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 60.7% | 73.1% | +12.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 65.2% | 53.2% | −12.0 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 32.2% | 43.6% | +11.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 59.7% | 68.5% | +8.8 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 12.6% | 4.1% | −8.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 56.1% | 64.0% | +7.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 38.9% | 33.7% | −5.2 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 8.8% | 4.3% | −4.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 59.7% | 64.3% | +4.5 |
