Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Liverpool with a 14.0% chance and Hull City beat Swansea City with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 48.9% | 31.2% | −17.6 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 50.6% | 34.2% | −16.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 50.3% | 63.9% | +13.7 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 31.7% | 18.9% | −12.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 42.5% | 33.0% | −9.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 41.6% | 50.0% | +8.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 13.1% | 5.5% | −7.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 14.4% | 21.6% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 65.8% | 72.4% | +6.6 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 9.9% | 16.4% | +6.5 |
