Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Leicester City with a 14.2% chance and Liverpool beat Arsenal with a 19.7% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 12 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Hull CityRelegation44.7%31.7%−13.0
Leicester CityChampions League37.9%26.0%−11.9
ArsenalChampions League73.3%61.5%−11.9
LiverpoolChampions League37.4%48.9%+11.5
ArsenalChampion28.9%17.6%−11.3
Manchester UnitedChampions League55.2%65.8%+10.6
BournemouthRelegation32.1%42.7%+10.6
Manchester UnitedChampion16.3%24.0%+7.7
West Bromwich AlbionRelegation21.9%14.9%−7.1
BurnleyRelegation44.3%50.6%+6.3
Home 14.2%
Draw 19.0%
Away 66.8%
Home 29.2%
Draw 28.3%
Away 42.5%
Home 42.8%
Draw 28.1%
Away 29.0%
Home 31.1%
Draw 29.7%
Away 39.1%
Home 24.4%
Draw 25.0%
Away 50.5%
Home 66.1%
Draw 19.2%
Away 14.6%
Home 79.3%
Draw 14.8%
Away 5.9%
Home 14.7%
Draw 19.3%
Away 65.9%
Home 58.3%
Draw 22.1%
Away 19.7%
Home 48.2%
Draw 26.0%
Away 25.8%