Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Swansea City with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 49.5% | 32.5% | −17.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 54.7% | 68.1% | +13.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Champions League | 26.1% | 14.8% | −11.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 65.0% | 74.1% | +9.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.9% | 11.2% | −8.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.6% | 27.4% | +7.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.8% | 33.2% | −7.6 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 35.9% | 43.4% | +7.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 37.7% | 43.5% | +5.7 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 16.7% | 11.1% | −5.6 |
