Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Chelsea with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 68.4% | 54.7% | −13.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.7% | 65.0% | +13.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 24.6% | 13.4% | −11.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 28.2% | 18.8% | −9.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 35.1% | 42.5% | +7.3 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 15.8% | 22.7% | +6.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Champions League | 19.4% | 26.1% | +6.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.8% | 19.3% | +6.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 43.8% | 49.5% | +5.7 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 78.3% | 83.5% | +5.2 |
