Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Southampton with a 20.7% chance, West Bromwich Albion beat Arsenal with a 23.2% chance, Liverpool beat Manchester City with a 17.8% chance, and Sunderland beat Crystal Palace with a 12.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 66.8% | 53.3% | −13.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 29.5% | 41.2% | +11.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 35.6% | 24.8% | −10.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 84.3% | 74.1% | −10.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 48.8% | 58.7% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 13.3% | 23.1% | +9.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 20.5% | 29.7% | +9.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 84.6% | 76.0% | −8.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 15.8% | 24.1% | +8.3 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 24.3% | 16.3% | −8.1 |
