Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Swansea City with a 24.4% chance and Crystal Palace beat Liverpool with a 23.5% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Norwich CityRelegation50.7%38.8%−11.9
NewcastleRelegation39.6%29.5%−10.1
BournemouthRelegation57.1%65.6%+8.5
Manchester UnitedChampions League61.1%69.4%+8.3
SunderlandRelegation59.5%66.8%+7.3
LiverpoolChampions League20.3%13.3%−7.0
Crystal PalaceChampions League8.3%13.8%+5.5
Manchester UnitedChampion10.6%15.8%+5.2
Manchester CityChampion40.2%35.6%−4.6
Leicester CityChampions League16.4%20.5%+4.1
Home 37.9%
Draw 30.3%
Away 31.8%
Home 59.8%
Draw 21.5%
Away 18.7%
Home 67.7%
Draw 18.7%
Away 13.6%
Home 24.4%
Draw 25.0%
Away 50.5%
Home 21.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away 56.0%
Home 48.0%
Draw 26.0%
Away 25.9%
Home 35.4%
Draw 31.4%
Away 33.2%
Home 12.9%
Draw 18.3%
Away 68.7%
Home 51.1%
Draw 24.8%
Away 24.1%
Home 52.1%
Draw 24.4%
Away 23.5%