Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Southampton with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 19 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Champions League | 69.8% | 50.7% | −19.1 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 22.8% | 34.3% | +11.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 18.3% | 7.9% | −10.3 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 24.2% | 14.3% | −9.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 57.7% | 64.9% | +7.2 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 31.9% | 38.3% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 14.3% | 20.2% | +5.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 31.6% | 26.2% | −5.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.5% | 47.8% | +5.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 10.7% | 14.5% | +3.8 |
