Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Manchester City with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 11 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 33.8% | 16.8% | −17.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 64.2% | 80.5% | +16.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 15.5% | 6.6% | −8.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 49.6% | 57.7% | +8.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 31.5% | 24.1% | −7.3 |
| Swansea City | Europa League | 10.0% | 3.6% | −6.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 35.5% | 39.6% | +4.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 29.3% | 33.1% | +3.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 21.7% | 25.4% | +3.7 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 62.1% | 65.8% | +3.6 |
