Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Newcastle with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 15 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 60.5% | 47.3% | −13.2 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 26.3% | 36.0% | +9.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 14.0% | 7.3% | −6.7 |
| Everton | Europa League | 21.0% | 14.5% | −6.6 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 34.5% | 40.3% | +5.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 61.1% | 55.6% | −5.5 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 22.7% | 28.2% | +5.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 10.8% | 5.5% | −5.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 24.2% | 29.5% | +5.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 73.0% | 77.8% | +4.8 |
