Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Southampton with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 71.6% | 59.5% | −12.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 49.3% | 61.1% | +11.8 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 37.2% | 26.3% | −10.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 33.2% | 24.2% | −9.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.6% | 42.4% | +8.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 52.5% | 60.5% | +8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 17.6% | 9.9% | −7.7 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 28.1% | 34.5% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 16.3% | 22.0% | +5.8 |
| Everton | Europa League | 16.0% | 21.0% | +5.1 |
