Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Manchester United with a 12.6% chance, Stoke City beat Chelsea with a 23.6% chance, and Norwich City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 31.1% | 44.8% | +13.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 31.9% | 19.4% | −12.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.7% | 54.0% | +12.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 40.5% | 31.2% | −9.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 78.3% | 69.6% | −8.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 77.9% | 70.9% | −7.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 22.4% | 28.7% | +6.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 16.2% | 10.2% | −6.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 74.8% | 80.7% | +5.9 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 13.8% | 8.8% | −5.0 |
