Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Ham with a 18.6% chance, Everton beat Manchester United with a 23.3% chance, and Aston Villa beat Southampton with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 1 (before the first match) against those on December 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 46.3% | 31.9% | −14.3 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 86.6% | 78.3% | −8.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 35.3% | 43.3% | +8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.7% | 41.7% | +7.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 35.3% | 40.5% | +5.2 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 10.1% | 5.5% | −4.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 74.2% | 78.4% | +4.2 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 15.5% | 11.4% | −4.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 23.6% | 27.3% | +3.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.9% | 22.4% | +3.5 |
