Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Bolton Wanderers with a 17.9% chance and Queens Park Rangers beat Wolverhampton with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 52.3% | 38.0% | −14.3 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 40.7% | 27.5% | −13.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 20.6% | 32.3% | +11.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 39.1% | 50.8% | +11.7 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 15.6% | 25.7% | +10.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 18.8% | 28.6% | +9.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.8% | 25.1% | −9.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 61.5% | 51.8% | −9.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 20.7% | 30.0% | +9.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 13.6% | 22.8% | +9.2 |
