Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Blackburn Rovers with a 22.6% chance and West Bromwich Albion beat Newcastle with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 65.2% | 53.3% | −11.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 53.3% | 64.8% | +11.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.8% | 42.7% | +10.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.8% | 24.1% | −6.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 44.6% | 50.4% | +5.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 29.5% | 35.1% | +5.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 24.1% | 18.4% | −5.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 11.4% | 6.5% | −4.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 9.1% | 4.5% | −4.6 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 7.4% | 3.7% | −3.7 |
