Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Sunderland with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 3 (before the first match) against those on April 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 18.4% | 2.5% | −15.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 85.9% | 72.5% | −13.4 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 14.1% | 27.4% | +13.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 52.9% | 64.6% | +11.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 61.6% | 73.3% | +11.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 20.3% | 30.8% | +10.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 78.1% | 68.0% | −10.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 12.4% | 3.5% | −9.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 54.5% | 63.5% | +9.0 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 46.9% | 52.8% | +5.9 |
