Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Chelsea with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 52.9% | 67.7% | +14.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 64.0% | 51.6% | −12.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 28.5% | 38.5% | +10.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 54.9% | 64.4% | +9.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 26.8% | 19.1% | −7.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 64.2% | 56.7% | −7.6 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 22.4% | 29.7% | +7.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 14.4% | 7.5% | −6.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 15.0% | 21.2% | +6.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 18.0% | 12.0% | −6.0 |
