Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Everton with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 22 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 42.0% | 54.4% | +12.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 30.3% | 18.3% | −12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 68.4% | 79.3% | +10.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 73.9% | 64.2% | −9.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 34.2% | 25.3% | −8.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 64.9% | 56.6% | −8.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 28.9% | 36.2% | +7.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 32.3% | 39.7% | +7.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 82.8% | 88.6% | +5.8 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 13.9% | 8.5% | −5.4 |
