Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Arsenal with a 10.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 40.6% | 52.2% | +11.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.5% | 61.5% | −11.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 61.8% | 51.4% | −10.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 27.7% | 18.6% | −9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.5% | 24.8% | +8.2 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 17.8% | 25.0% | +7.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 16.4% | 10.2% | −6.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 13.7% | 7.8% | −5.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 15.1% | 20.9% | +5.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 10.1% | 15.8% | +5.7 |
