Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Aston Villa with a 14.4% chance and Burnley beat Tottenham with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Europa League | 23.3% | 0% | −23.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 76.7% | 100% | +23.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 80.6% | 100% | +19.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 19.4% | 0% | −19.4 |
