Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Arsenal with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 25 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Europa League | 46.1% | 23.0% | −23.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 62.7% | 79.3% | +16.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 37.3% | 20.7% | −16.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 64.7% | 77.1% | +12.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 34.0% | 44.5% | +10.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 9.9% | <0.1% | −9.9 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 47.6% | 55.5% | +7.9 |
