Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat West Ham with a 19.2% chance and Stoke City beat Fulham with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 21.8% | 100% | +78.2 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 44.4% | 100% | +55.6 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 52.6% | 0% | −52.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 49.0% | 0% | −48.9 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 52.1% | 100% | +47.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 38.2% | 80.6% | +42.4 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 66.0% | 100% | +34.0 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 45.5% | 76.7% | +31.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 29.7% | 0% | −29.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 51.1% | 23.3% | −27.8 |
