Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Chelsea with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 21 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 47.1% | 0.4% | −46.7 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 54.3% | 97.6% | +43.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 20.9% | 63.0% | +42.1 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 52.6% | 92.9% | +40.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 34.8% | <0.1% | −34.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 35.3% | 5.2% | −30.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 25.3% | 0.4% | −24.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 44.2% | 65.4% | +21.3 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 82.6% | 100% | +17.4 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 42.4% | 58.1% | +15.6 |
