Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat West Ham with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 5 (before the first match) against those on March 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 52.2% | 6.3% | −45.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 57.4% | 99.9% | +42.5 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 47.7% | 88.1% | +40.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 23.2% | 57.5% | +34.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 43.6% | 20.2% | −23.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 21.3% | 0.1% | −21.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 20.6% | 3.0% | −17.7 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 58.6% | 73.5% | +14.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 21.9% | 7.0% | −14.8 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 10.5% | <0.1% | −10.5 |
