Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Stoke City with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on December 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 43.2% | 26.9% | −16.3 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 22.2% | 15.4% | −6.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 22.6% | 28.1% | +5.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.8% | 41.1% | +5.3 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 64.1% | 59.0% | −5.1 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 51.4% | 56.3% | +4.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 45.6% | 50.4% | +4.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 33.4% | 37.9% | +4.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 16.7% | 21.1% | +4.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 36.5% | 40.0% | +3.6 |
