Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Portsmouth with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 22 (before the first match) against those on December 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 20.4% | 9.3% | −11.1 |
| Everton | Europa League | 30.9% | 39.8% | +9.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 25.1% | 31.9% | +6.8 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 12.9% | 7.1% | −5.8 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 12.1% | 6.4% | −5.7 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 9.0% | 4.4% | −4.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 58.8% | 54.3% | −4.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 32.0% | 36.2% | +4.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 11.8% | 16.0% | +4.2 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 47.9% | 52.0% | +4.1 |
