Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Portsmouth with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 32.0% | 44.0% | +12.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 23.8% | 12.6% | −11.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 39.9% | 29.3% | −10.6 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 25.0% | 16.0% | −9.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 38.6% | 47.5% | +8.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 76.5% | 84.0% | +7.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 22.4% | 29.0% | +6.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 13.9% | 8.0% | −6.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 13.1% | 18.2% | +5.1 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 12.5% | 7.9% | −4.6 |
