Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Reading with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 76.0% | 92.6% | +16.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 16.4% | 32.4% | +15.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 76.6% | 63.8% | −12.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.3% | 7.1% | −12.2 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 80.8% | 68.8% | −12.0 |
| Reading | Relegation | 4.3% | 14.8% | +10.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 85.8% | 96.0% | +10.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 14.2% | 4.0% | −10.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 13.0% | 3.9% | −9.1 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 21.0% | 29.0% | +8.0 |
