Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Manchester United with a 12.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 52.8% | 71.9% | +19.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.7% | 24.0% | −17.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 31.0% | 16.2% | −14.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 25.0% | 33.1% | +8.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 54.8% | 62.1% | +7.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 14.8% | 8.2% | −6.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.5% | 41.0% | −6.5 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 23.0% | 28.9% | +5.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 50.5% | 45.3% | −5.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 6.5% | 2.3% | −4.2 |
