Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Portsmouth with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 2 (before the first match) against those on January 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 48.6% | 34.1% | −14.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 53.1% | 39.1% | −14.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 38.1% | 50.2% | +12.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 53.6% | 64.1% | +10.5 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 31.8% | 21.9% | −9.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 37.1% | 28.7% | −8.4 |
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 11.8% | 4.8% | −7.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 57.2% | 50.7% | −6.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 23.6% | 29.7% | +6.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 17.4% | 11.4% | −6.0 |
